Tuesday, March 31, 2009

AIG Delays Funding for Real Estate Projects

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Once an institutional equity partner with good access to capital, AIG now is cutting or delaying funding to some commercial real estate projects. Be thankful that you are not in a JV venture with AIG. According to WSJ:

American International Group Inc., whose spending is being monitored by the Federal Reserve, has cut or delayed payments to some AIG real-estate ventures, potentially leaving shopping centers and apartment complexes across the U.S. short on cash to pay lenders and fund repairs and renovations, according to court documents and people familiar with the matter.
Related post:
Power Shifting Back to Investors

John Hancock Tower Auctioned Off for $660.6 Million

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That's 51% less than what Broadway Partners paid in 2006. From Bloomberg:

Normandy Real Estate Partners and Five Mile Capital Partners won the auction today for Boston’s John Hancock Tower, the tallest skyscraper in New England.

The companies agreed to pay $20.1 million for the mezzanine debt on the 60-story building and assume the mortgage of $640.5 million, according to a statement today.


Related post:
Commercial Real Estate Auction to Rise

Sunday, March 29, 2009

Real Estate Storm Brewing?

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Weekend Roundup

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Commercial Property Faces Crisis ("WSJ")

Soros Says Commercial Property Values Will Fall 30% ("Bloomberg")

CRE Skepticism High over Fed's Plans To Buy Trillions in 'Toxic' Assets ("CoStar")

Distress: Just Scratching the Surface ("CPN")

Private Equity Players: Distressed Asset Deals Start Making Sense ("NREI")

Some REITs Have a Contrarian Flavor ("NYT")

Don't Write off the Malls Just Yet, Says Real Estate Magnate David Simon ("Knowledge@Wharton")

DON'T SHOOT THE MESSENGER: Full Recovery for Retail Real Estate Could Be as Far off as 2012 ("CoStar")

Healthcare Buildings Find Single-Tenant Buyers ("CPN")

Student Housing Sector Strikes a Balance Despite Bad Economy ("NREI")

Friday, March 27, 2009

SouthPark: Bailout!

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Thursday, March 19, 2009

On Vacation

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Away for a week. Hopefully by the time I come back, all this latest looniness will be over.

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

AIG to Sell its New York Headquarter

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Finally, some AIG news not related to bonuses. Am I the only one who's so over the AIG bonus story?

American International Group Inc. the insurer that received a $173 billion U.S. bailout, is considering a sale of its New York headquarters and another tower in lower Manhattan to help repay the government.

AIG is evaluating the sale of 70 Pine St. and 72 Wall St., spokesman Mark Herr said in an e-mail today. Two years ago the properties were likely worth about $315 million, said Dan Fasulo, managing director of Real Capital Analytics Inc., a New York-based firm that tracks commercial real estate sales.

Monday, March 16, 2009

JLL Optimisic About European Data Centers

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I have posted here before about data centers. Those who follow the data center sector probably already know how difficult it is to get market and research reports on the sector, so it was great to see Jones Lang LaSalle publish its first Data Centre Barometer research report. While the report only covers the European market, we hope JLL will cover the US market soon. Here is an excerpt:

Whilst the woes of the mainstream real estate market are very public, our first survey confirms that the data centre market can be quietly optimistic. Although not 'recession proof', its hybrid position somewhere between real estate and technology (with a degree of statutory compliance thrown in for good measure) goes some way towards insulating it from many of the factors which are dragging other sectors of the economy down.
(via Property Week)

Power Shifting Back to Investors

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The economic crisis is having an impact on commercial real estate joint ventures. Instead of being a passive money partner, investors now want to do "more micromanaging". This piece from REIT.com addresses some of the implications:

“The typical joint venture agreement already will provide the capital partner with significant approval rights over major decisions, Rubin notes. “One difference you would expect to see is that those approval rights may go from being sort of pro forma to something that the capital partners really drill down into.”

Distressed Assets' Myths

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Bernard Haddigan, senior vice president and managing director of Marcus & Millichap, explains.

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Ben Bernanke on 60 Minutes

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Court Gave Tishman Speyer a Stay

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From the Observer:

A court on Friday gave Stuy Town landlord Tishman Speyer a stay in having to take any actions after the decision last week, waiting until the results of an appeals process are borne out. Tishman Speyer has applied to appeal to the state’s top court, the Court of Appeals. A state appellate court dealt the powerful landlord, as well as the owners of tens of thousands of other apartments citywide, a major blow that could cost them hundreds of millions—if not billions—of dollars, ruling that many landlords had been improperly converting rent-stabilized apartments to market-rate units.

Rather than immediately re-regulate the 4,000-plus apartments in Stuyvesant Town that have been converted to market rents since 1993, as the appellate court’s decision would require, the stay calls for Tishman to calculate how much money it would owe in back rent to market-rate tenants and put that money in an escrow account.
Related posts:
Big Stuy Town Ruling
Proposed NY Rent Control Law Change Poses Risk for Apartment Deals
THe World's Biggest Real Estate Deal

Partial Sale-Leasebacks

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While gaining popularity, partial sale-leasebacks attract different investors:

Given the inherent repositioning aspect of partial leaseback deals, traditional sale-leaseback investors are not typically attracted to these kinds of transactions, says Martinez. Rather, value-add players are the more likely bidders, but they are attracted to having a stabilized rental income stream component while repositioning efforts for the remainder of the space are undertaken.

Partial or whole, any number of market experts predict that sale-leasebacks will be an increasingly used corporate real estate strategy this year as companies look for ways to shave costs, raise capital and otherwise strengthen their balance sheets.

Friday, March 13, 2009

Jon Stewart Takes Down CNBC

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Jon Stewart's interview with CNBC's Jim Cramer last night is a must see. Unfortunately, Jim Cramer has become the face of CNBC. He hosts an entertaining stock pick show. You don't have to follow his advice. He's not the worst offender of delivering news with attitude. Many other CNBC anchors and commentators are much worse. At certain point of the interview, I actually felt sorry for Cramer. Now even Yale's David Swensen is pouring on:

Jim Cramer exemplifies everything that's wrong with the advice -- and I put advice in quotation marks -- that is given to individual investors. Investing is a serious business. We're talking about retirement security of American citizens, and he turns it into a game. It's a game where his listeners lose. It's ridiculous. These high-turnover, rapid trading strategies enrich the brokers. If you look at Jim Cramer's approach on an after-fee, after-tax basis, the individual doesn't have a chance.





Thursday, March 12, 2009

Quote of the Day

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"Dubai went from a trading economy to a real estate economy. Unlike [oil-rich] Abu Dhabi, most of Dubai's GDP comes from real estate. Real estate is a game of credit and leverage. You can't make money in real estate without that." Ashwin Verma, Black House Development Company.

Watergate for Sale

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The timing is interesting. The seller BentleyForbes took it off the market last year when the bids didn't meet their expectation. From Bloomberg:

The office, retail and parking garage likely would have sold for about $120 million last year, said Dan Fasulo, managing director of Real Capital Analytics Inc., a New York-based property-research firm. The property is likely to go for less than that now because of the global capital crunch, he said.

BentleyForbes bought the Watergate complex in 2005 from Trizec Properties Inc. for $86.5 million.

“They should’ve sold it last year. They should’ve taken the bid, whatever it was,” Fasulo said.

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Jamie Dimon Speaks

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JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon just gave an excellent speech at Chamber of Commerce. 24/7Wall Street has a summary here. Once again, Jamie Dimon demonstrates what a great communicator and leader he is.










Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Don't Buy Real Estate, Not Yet

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According to Blackstone's Stephen Schwarzman:

Warning that economy will remain in dismal shape for “a while,” Blackstone Group Chief Executive Stephen Schwarzman urged people against buying real estate—even at seemingly depressed prices.

“You should keep away from that for now; if it looks cheap it will be cheaper,” Mr. Schwarzman said in response to a question from a member of the audience Tuesday at the Japan Society.
He also said people should stop watching CNBC:

In the meantime, he suggested people turn off their televisions and pull the plug on their computers, saying that media and the Internet have made the crisis worse by giving everyone the same bad news and gossip simultaneously. “The business stories went on to the front page,” he said. “That is never a good thing. Business stories should always be on the business pages.”

In an apparent reference to CNBC, he observed that there isn’t enough news in the day to fill “14 hours of programming,” leading TV personalities to “beat the drum.”

Washington Offers Treasures for Alternative Investment Managers

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Thank you, Uncle Sam:

Alternative investment managers are turning to Washington for some of their best portfolio opportunities.

The potential investments range from downtrodden commercial mortgage-backed securities to bank loans to venture capital. Those able to take advantage of some of those options — most of which still are in the planning stages — include hedge funds, private equity firms and real estate investment managers.

Sunday, March 8, 2009

1-800-IDEAS

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SNL pokes fun at Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner.

Saturday, March 7, 2009

The New F***ing Citibank

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(via The Big Picture)

Big Stuy Town Ruling

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For those following the Stuyvesant Town deal, Tishman Speyer Properties suffered another blow in court last Thursday:

The decision, issued by the Appellate Division of State Supreme Court in Manhattan, could ultimately cost the landlord, Tishman Speyer Properties, $200 million if it is required to repay residents of more than 3,000 apartments for improper rent increases over the past four years, said a lawyer for the tenants.

Landlords say the decision could also affect hundreds of other apartment house owners who, like Tishman Speyer, obtained tax breaks under the city’s J-51 tax program for property renovations and then raised rents beyond certain set levels. The Appellate Division ruled that apartments must remain rent-regulated as long as the building owners enjoy J-51 tax benefits.

Weekend Roundup

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Top U.S., European Banks Got $50 Billion in AIG Aid ("WSJ")

Over the Hedge ("Vanity Fair")

Deal or No Deal? ("CIRE")

Knock on 'Opportunity': Sharp Losses ("WSJ")

Fed's Lockhart: Commercial property a mounting risk ("Reuters")

Behind the Curtain at G.E. ("NYT")

Players in Distressed-debt Market Blow Their Entrance ("Financial Week")

Up Close with Jones Lang LaSalle's Wes Boatwright ("GlobeSt.com")

Commercial Renters Have a New Worry: A Landlord’s Default ("NYT")

REITs Look To Strengthen Balance Sheets ("GlobeSt.com")

Accepting Fate: REIT Execs Look Ahead to Market Rebirth ("CoStar")

Just Due It ("CIRE")

Experts Reject NAIOP Study, Citing Flawed Analysis ("CoStar")

Canadian property markets cushioned for 2009 ("NP")

Extended Stay Continues To Outperform Other Hotel Segments ("NREI")

A Changing Market Requires Changing Strategies ("CIRE")

Finding Financing in Today’s Market ("CIRE")

Filling Vacant Retail Boxes Requires Thinking Outside The Box ("CoStar")

Thursday, March 5, 2009

The Uncler

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Why CNBC Has No Credibility

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John Stewart is just brilliant.

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Beige Book: More Rapid Deterioration

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From FRB:
Residential real estate markets remained in the doldrums in most areas, with only scattered, very tentative signs of stabilization reported. The pace of sales remained very low in most areas and declined further in some; most Districts reported small declines, but New York cited a sales drop of 60 to 65 percent in Manhattan compared with twelve months earlier. By contrast, Cleveland, Richmond, Dallas, and San Francisco each reported a rising or better-than expected sales pace for existing or new homes in some areas, attributed largely to falling prices and improved financing terms for some types of home mortgages. House prices continued to decline, reportedly at double-digit paces in some areas, with little or no signs of a deceleration evident. Builders in various Districts generally remain pessimistic regarding recovery prospects this year, and consequently the pace of new home construction declined further in most areas.

Demand for commercial, industrial, and retail space fell further during the reporting period, with some evidence of more rapid deterioration than in preceding periods. Vacancy rates rose and lease rates declined on a widespread basis; New York noted that commercial real estate markets “weakened noticeably,” while Atlanta described reports on commercial real estate that were “decidedly more negative” than in previous periods. Construction activity has declined commensurately, and assorted reports suggest that market participants expect this weakness to continue at least through the end of 2009. Cleveland noted that public works projects have shown stability of late, although they declined in the San Francisco District as a result of the budgetary struggles of some state and local governments there. Credit constraints and uncertainty were reported to be a drag on commercial construction and leasing activity in the Philadelphia, Chicago, Dallas, and San Francisco Districts.

Monday, March 2, 2009

Quote of The Day

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“One of the things that makes a bottom is stupid, stupid, stupid low asset values, and we’re getting to at least the first or second ‘stupid.’” Steven Roth, CEO of Vornado Realty Trust

Sunday, March 1, 2009

The Greenest Building

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Treasury: Banks Are Still Lending

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According to Treasury's monthly bank lending survey, from October through December 2008:

In commercial real estate, renewals of existing accounts increased significantly, while new commitments decreased. The median percent change in renewals of existing accounts was an increase of 55 percent, and the median percent change in new commitments was a decrease of 19 percent.
And the largest commercial real estate lenders are Bank of America ($7.3B new commitments) and Wells Fargo ($4.4B new commitments):

Bank of America extended about $49 billion in commercial non‐real estate lending credit and nearly $7 billion in real estate lending during the fourth quarter to middle market and large corporate clients as well as not‐for‐profit organizations and governments. In 2008, the company also invested $1 billion in affordable housing development financing by using Low Income Housing Tax Credits.

Commercial loan growth at Wells Fargo increased 11% in Q4 2008 from a year ago and 10% annualized linked quarter, reflecting the Company’s commitment to extend credit to all of its creditworthy customers at a time when many of Wells Fargo’s competitors have retracted from commercial lending. Commercial loan growth at Wells Fargo in Q4 2008 continued to be broad‐based by geography and by product type with growth for example in small business lending (up 8%), asset based lending, middle market commercial lending, commercial real estate (largely owner‐occupied financing) and selected niches in large corporate lending.
See also:
Treasy Department Monthly Lending and Intermediation Snapshot
Individual Banks' Reports

The REIT Stuff

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Forbes grades the biggest U.S. REITs on performance and value here.
 

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